Draft Jottings #2: Playing Dominoes - 4/18/05
As far as I can tell, this is going to be the oddest draft I’ve seen in some time.
Sources that I usually count on for information this time of year (and they usually come through) have been very quiet.
The only comments I have gotten back from them is that they just don’t know. I would ask them to elaborate but they just couldn’t.
This whole draft was going to be like setting up and knocking down dominoes according to one scout.
They didn’t know what was going to happen until the first round played out a little.
The same will go for the Steelers of course as they sit at #30 and just wait for things to happen.
That said, I would like to put together a few Steelers mock drafts based on four different scenarios involving the Steelers’ first pick.
I chose four because it looks like, at least to me, that the Steelers would be going in one of four directions with the
outcome being decided mainly by the teams in front of them. The four scenarios are:
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#1: The top rated TE on the board unexpectedly falls to 30 due to an off season injury giving the Steelers Heath Miller from Virginia.
- Heath Miller TE Virginia. Great value for the Steelers as they fill a need position with the best TE on the board. It would be a steal at #30
- Ronald Bartell CB Howard. With plenty of experience currently at corner, the Steelers need youth and athleticism there for the future. Bartell is a big (6-1, 211), fast (4.37) and smart (35 on the Wonderlic test) corner prospect who may be well suited for free safety as well. Regardless, he would come in handy in dime situations and special teams as a rookie.
- Michael Roos OT Eastern Washington. The Estonian born Roos would provide some of the offensive line depth that the Steelers are looking for. He looked impressive at the Senior Bowl (a favorite shopping place for the Steelers) and showed he can play with the big boys. He would need to learn to put and keep on more weight but he already comes with the athletic ability to play at the next level.
- Josh Davis WR Marshall. Davis would add some downfield ability in both the running and passing games. He’s a willing blocker in the running game (a must for a Steelers receiver) and can go up and get the ball downfield. He might be the perfect fit for the offense in the red zone. Second all-time NCAA in receptions with 306 and first all time in the MAC. Would be a nice addition to add with a former MAC QB, Ben Roethlisberger.
- Jeb Huckeba OLB/DE Arkansas. Huckeba is a good sized (6-4 252) college DE who looks able to make the move to pro OLB in a 3-4 set. He already runs a 4.65 and could get faster with proper training for the position switch. He would add depth at both OLB spots while being able to provide a good-sized body on special teams.
- Chris McKenzie CB Arizona St. Here’s a player with the numbers to be a day one pick but at 5-9, he makes a bit of a slide in the deep corner pool this year. As for his numbers, he has posted a 4.32 40, 42 inch vertical and a 350 pound bench press. Athletically he looks fantastic and he has no fear playing against the run. Problem is, it’s doubtful that he’ll ever be anything more than a nickel back with his lack of size. No problem with the Steelers though, they have 5-9 Deshea Townsend starting right now.
- (a) Alvin Pearman RB Virginia. The best way to describe him is that he looks like a Duce Staley in the making. He has good size (5-10, 208) but is not big and has decent speed (4.63) but is not fast. He’s good at catching the ball and can pick up some tough yards when needed. He would be a great pickup at the top of the seventh round.
- (b) Trai Essex OT Northwestern. Essex is a good O-lineman with great feet. At 6-5 and 322 pounds he has the size and the ability to play at the next level. What remains to be seen is if he has the desire.
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#2: Due to Fabian Washington’s great combine an extra corner will fall a bit and give the Steelers a shot at Clemson CB Justin Miller.
- Justin Miller CB Clemson. A playmaker for sure, Miller has the ability to step right in and compete for a starting position. The addition of Miller would mean that the Steelers corner position would be set for some time. He would also give them the return man they would need to replace Antwaan Randle El if he were unable to continue that this year.
- Courtney Roby WR Indiana. How nice would it be for the Steelers to have a deep threat with speed (4.41) and the ability to bring the ball in? Roby was one of the bright spots at the Senior Bowl and would make a nice addition to a Steelers receiver group that would start to resemble the Patriots’ except that the Steelers have a Pro Bowler (Hines Ward) in theirs.
- Chris Colmer OT NC St. Colmer is a player that would probably go much higher if he didn’t have injury (shoulder) concerns. If he can stay healthy, the Steelers will have the offensive line depth that they are looking for as Colmer could be used at both guard and tackle.
- Joel Dreessen TE Colorado St. Since the Steelers were unable to land either Heath Miller or Alex Smith in this scenario, Dreessen becomes a nice third choice. He’s not the athlete the first two are but he catches any ball he can reach and would be a nice addition to help move the chains.
- David McMillan OLB/DE Kansas. A very athletic but undersized DE, he would make a nice project to back up Joey Porter and Clark Haggans. Add in his speed (4.58) and he could progress quickly while being a player on special teams.
- Kirk Morrison LB San Diego St. The forgotten man as teams have focused on his teammate Matt McCoy. Despite that, Morrison is a player, one you’ll always find around the ball. He would make a nice reserve and special teamer. The kind of guy who often captains those units.
- (a) Rasheed Marshall WR West Virginia. Another former quarterback making the switch to WR, he couldn’t find a better team to do it with.
- (b) Nehemiah Broughton RB The Citadel. A big (6-0 250) back to help out with short yardage who could develop into a nice inside runner.
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#3: Both Miller’s have been taken off the board leaving the Steelers with the “safe” pick to add desired depth to the offensive line by taking Mississippi’s OT/OG Marcus Johnson.
- Marcus Johnson OG Mississippi. This is my least favorite scenario. With this pick the Steelers would be drafting for depth and to give Max Starks some competition at RT. The question for me would be, can he even play RT at the NFL level? A few games last year are all we have to go on.
- Stanley Wilson CB Stanford. A good sized (6-0 185) corner who has the speed (4.36) to go with it. He’s also a bright guy who has the ability to challenge for a starting spot right away.
- Vincent Jackson WR Northern Colorado. Jackson is a receiver on the move up draft boards right now as he looks to be the prototypical dream of a pro receiver. He’s big (6-5, 241) with the speed (4.46) to get open deep. His biggest questions surround the rest of his game as he still has a lot of learning to do to be a good WR. He also may just grow his way into the TE position.
- Sean Considine FS Iowa. He has all the intangibles but the great unknown is if he is athletic enough to be effective in the NFL. His running a 4.5 40 tells me that he has enough.
- Jonathan Goddard OLB Marshall. He’s not the biggest (6-0 238) guy out there but he has the production (NCAA leading 16 sacks and 28.5 tackles behind the line) to get drafted here.
- Jerome Collins TE Notre Dame. New to the position (2004 was his first year there), Collins provides a bit of a project with a huge upside. Good news is that he’s already an accomplished special teams player and could help out there immediately.
- (a) Chase Lyman WR California. An accomplished WR with a bit of a history with injury problems. He was Aaron Rodgers’ favorite receiver and if healthy, would provide the Steelers with a good fourth or fifth receiver.
- (b) Derrick Wimbush RB Fort Valley St. Good looking RB prospect who could develop into a nice reserve back. Had a great Hula Bowl and showed he’s capable of playing at the next level.
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#4: With both Miller’s taken, the Steelers take a shot at the “wild card” in this year’s group by drafting the physically gifted former QB from Arkansas Matt Jones in order to turn him into a WR.
- Matt Jones WR Arkansas. This is my favorite pick because Jones has by far the most upside of the four picks I’ve mentioned. He’s fast (4.4) and huge (6-6 246) and has shown that he can catch even the toughest of passes. Opposing coaches rave at his abilities with the ball and he could amount to be everything that the Steelers hoped they had in Plexico Burress. He would be deadly down by the end zone.
- Bryant McFadden CB Florida St. Was once thought of a late first round pick, McFadden suffers from Combine-itis which is the inability to post great numbers in Indy. He only ran a 4.53, which is fine for a corner prospect but doesn’t get you into the first. Despite that though, he does know how to play the position and play it well.
- Logan Mankins OG/OT Fresno St. Mankins would be the perfect answer to the Steelers need for a solid reserve O-lineman who can play different positions. I’m just not sure he’ll fall this far.
- Eric Moore OLB/DE Florida St. Before you start having flashbacks to Alonzo Jackson, don’t. Moore is much better physically built to handle the switch to OLB and unlike Jackson, actually shows interest in getting to the ball carrier.
- Adam Bergen TE Lehigh. A soft-handed TE prospect who could develop into a starter down the road. Considering the talent the Steelers have at TE, it could be a short road.
- David Bergeron LB Stanford. An idea ILB prospect for a 3-4 defense who has the ability to cover sideline to sideline and clog up the middle. He also has good coverage abilities leaving the Steelers free to use their safeties against deeper routes.
- (a) Junior Rosegreen CB/S Auburn. Might be a little slow to play corner at the pro level but could project to FS and have more success there.
- (b) Mike Montgomery DE Texas A&M. At 6-4 and 276, he has good size with the ability to add more (300?). The big question with him might be upstairs as anyone who scores a 9 on the Wonderlic test might have problems reading the playbook.
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You may have noticed that I didn’t duplicate any picks in the later rounds from scenario to scenario.
That was done as much for educational purposes (better to know a few more names) as it was just to keep me digging around for some quality guys.
The good news is though; the kind of player you can find in the seventh round won’t be that much different that what you find in the fifth.
The same could be said for the first day of the draft as the second or third player the Steelers pick might be even more important to them this year than the first.
I just look at it this way; the Steelers have what is basically three second round picks this year.
They will be able to add some depth but unless they land Heath Miller in the first, I doubt any of them will start.
That’s O.K. too, as long as they are ready to start in the next couple of years.
Overall, I don’t think this will be the kind of a draft that will make or break any team next year.
The key to the draft will be how many of these guys are playing significant roles two to three years down the line for their teams.
Those teams who have that kind of success will be the true winners of the 2005 draft. It could just as easily be the Steelers as it could the 49ers or Dolphins.
We’ll just have to wait and see.
Until next time…
Tim Campion
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